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Red41
51432.3
46718.2
Blue9
17331.6
50620.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2968050100150419

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
514
Unranked
32.34.5
14.418.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
173
Unranked
31.62.7
41.939.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
467
Unranked
18.22.7
14.216.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
506
Unranked
20.53.3
26.623.3
Auto
Teleop
End