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Red71
8841.3
57032.7
Blue7
8717.5
533-7.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2624050100150200250717

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
570
Unranked
32.73.9
21.525.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.2
871
Unranked
7.53.9
18.815.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
884
Unranked
1.33.9
4.88.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
533
Unranked
-7.73.9
5.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End