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Red3
17331.6
5055.7
Blue91
56620.4
4218.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49260406080100120140160391

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
Unranked
31.64.1
39.235.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
566
Unranked
20.46.9
12.319.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
505
Unranked
5.76.9
9.52.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.5
42
Unranked
18.24.1
14.218.3
Auto
Teleop
End