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Red60
32940.3
87021.0
Blue14
17331.6
50620.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585501001502002503006014

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
Unranked
40.32.7
32.335.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
173
Unranked
31.61.6
33.531.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
870
Unranked
21.01.6
25.827.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
506
Unranked
20.51.6
21.119.5
Auto
Teleop
End