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Red39
32940.3
10193.1
Blue9
26328.0
49611.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4749020406080100399

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
Unranked
40.31.9
40.842.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
263
Unranked
28.01.9
33.231.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1019
Unranked
3.11.9
6.17.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
496
Unranked
11.91.9
15.914.0
Auto
Teleop
End