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Red37
51432.3
56931.8
Blue10
27027.4
4173.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463502060801001201403710

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
514
Unranked
32.30.9
23.023.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
270
Unranked
27.40.9
28.127.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
569
Unranked
31.80.9
23.023.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.5
417
Unranked
3.30.9
6.55.6
Auto
Teleop
End