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Red15
26328.0
87021.0
Blue117
56931.8
57032.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5753020408010012014016015117

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
Unranked
28.05.7
31.325.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
570
Unranked
32.75.7
28.734.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
870
Unranked
21.04.0
25.421.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.8
569
Unranked
31.85.7
23.929.6
Auto
Teleop
End