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Red6
49611.9
54526.5
Blue37
8717.5
51432.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42330206080100120637

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
545
Unranked
26.52.2
28.226.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
514
Unranked
32.32.2
23.926.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
496
Unranked
11.92.2
14.011.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
871
Unranked
7.52.2
8.710.9
Auto
Teleop
End