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Red30
5055.7
27027.4
Blue72
52718.2
35846.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356902060801001201403072

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
270
Unranked
27.40.4
27.226.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.9
358
Unranked
46.30.3
47.347.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
505
Unranked
5.70.4
7.47.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.5
527
Unranked
18.20.4
21.622.0
Auto
Teleop
End