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Red78
17331.6
32940.3
Blue45
50620.5
57032.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions685502040801001201401607845

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
Unranked
40.31.0
39.940.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
570
Unranked
32.71.0
34.533.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
173
Unranked
31.60.7
28.429.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
506
Unranked
20.50.7
20.219.4
Auto
Teleop
End