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Red18
5055.7
56620.4
Blue59
2830.2
31128.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285902040801001201859

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
566
Unranked
20.40.5
21.420.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
28
Unranked
30.20.5
30.130.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
505
Unranked
5.70.5
7.06.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.5
311
Unranked
28.20.5
28.629.1
Auto
Teleop
End