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Red19
54526.5
56620.4
Blue32
35323.4
49611.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493402060801001201932

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
545
Unranked
26.50.4
27.527.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
353
Unranked
23.40.4
23.023.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
566
Unranked
20.40.4
21.421.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
496
Unranked
11.90.4
11.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End