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Red43
30633.3
38432.5
Blue29
31424.9
36522.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6647020801001201401604329

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
306
Unranked
33.30.1
33.433.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
314
Unranked
24.90.1
24.824.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
384
Unranked
32.50.1
32.532.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
365
Unranked
22.00.1
21.922.0
Auto
Teleop
End