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Red150
83626.4
113118.4
Blue22
119512.0
3331.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393505010015020015022

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
Unranked
26.47.3
20.527.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.4
1195
Unranked
12.01.6
12.010.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1131
Unranked
18.47.6
18.426.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.9
333
Unranked
1.57.8
16.99.2
Auto
Teleop
End