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Red110
83626.4
2522.7
Blue85
59619.7
113118.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4442010020030040050011085

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
Unranked
26.41.2
27.829.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
596
Unranked
19.71.4
15.914.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
25
Unranked
22.71.4
16.618.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
1131
Unranked
18.41.4
26.024.6
Auto
Teleop
End