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Red44
5315.3
30321.5
Blue45
1349.6
8049.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38290501001502002504445

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
Unranked
21.50.6
18.117.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
134
Unranked
9.60.4
7.88.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
53
Unranked
15.30.6
20.019.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
804
Unranked
9.40.6
20.921.6
Auto
Teleop
End