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Red78
102727.8
83626.4
Blue32
113118.4
20414.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514401001502002503007832

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1027
Unranked
27.82.4
22.424.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
1131
Unranked
18.42.4
24.622.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
836
Unranked
26.41.9
29.030.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
204
Unranked
14.62.4
19.316.9
Auto
Teleop
End