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Red12
61427.0
20414.6
Blue18
30015.0
4498.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4242102030506070801218

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
Unranked
27.00.3
26.626.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
300
Unranked
15.00.4
18.418.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
204
Unranked
14.60.4
14.914.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
449
Unranked
8.20.4
23.523.9
Auto
Teleop
End