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Red86
31624.8
34825.6
Blue5
487-2.7
652-3.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47290100150865

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
Unranked
25.63.9
22.526.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.3
487
Unranked
-2.73.9
19.715.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
316
Unranked
24.83.9
24.628.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.9
652
Unranked
-3.13.9
9.45.4
Auto
Teleop
End