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Red131
59619.7
113118.4
Blue6
3574.2
4498.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353702060801001201316

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
596
Unranked
19.77.9
12.420.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
449
Unranked
8.27.9
22.814.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1131
Unranked
18.47.9
22.230.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.2
357
Unranked
4.27.9
13.96.0
Auto
Teleop
End