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Red41
27224.3
5315.3
Blue55
50623.2
36522.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364902060801001201404155

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
Unranked
24.30.0
18.318.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
506
Unranked
23.20.0
23.023.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
53
Unranked
15.30.0
17.317.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
365
Unranked
22.00.0
25.825.8
Auto
Teleop
End