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Red22
34825.6
63924.8
Blue35
2522.7
102727.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524501001502002502235

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
Unranked
25.61.3
30.529.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
1027
Unranked
27.81.3
23.024.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
639
Unranked
24.81.3
21.420.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
25
Unranked
22.71.3
21.622.9
Auto
Teleop
End