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Red18
20414.6
76819.4
Blue122
63924.8
48432.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4244020608010012018122

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
768
Unranked
19.46.5
25.519.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.1
484
Unranked
32.56.5
22.929.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
204
Unranked
14.66.5
18.111.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.2
639
Unranked
24.86.5
20.226.7
Auto
Teleop
End