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Red4
1184-4.5
116810.2
Blue86
30321.5
33928.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641206080100120140486

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1168
Unranked
10.22.9
3.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.1
339
Unranked
28.31.7
26.027.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1184
Unranked
-4.52.9
2.0-0.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.0
303
Unranked
21.52.9
15.418.3
Auto
Teleop
End