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Red109
38432.5
102727.8
Blue77
59619.7
63924.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5648010015020025030010977

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
Unranked
32.50.9
31.732.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
639
Unranked
24.81.5
26.725.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1027
Unranked
27.81.5
24.125.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
596
Unranked
19.71.5
21.219.7
Auto
Teleop
End