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Red25
8718.6
31624.8
Blue65
81015.7
5620.9
63%Model gave it37%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions512901001502002565

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
Unranked
24.83.9
28.824.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
56
Unranked
20.93.9
16.920.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
87
Unranked
18.63.9
22.618.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
810
Unranked
15.73.9
11.815.7
Auto
Teleop
End