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Red150
65134.5
34120.2
Blue61
602-2.8
27127.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4734010015020025030035015061

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
651
Unranked
34.54.8
30.435.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
271
Unranked
27.24.8
32.127.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
341
Unranked
20.24.8
16.521.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.0
602
Unranked
-2.84.8
2.0-2.8
Auto
Teleop
End