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Red64
30633.3
38432.5
Blue7
2522.7
10329.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66520100150647

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
306
Unranked
33.30.8
33.634.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
103
Unranked
29.40.8
29.328.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
384
Unranked
32.50.5
32.633.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
25
Unranked
22.70.8
22.621.8
Auto
Teleop
End