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Red5
24533.0
114023.9
Blue63
7430.9
12825.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5955204080100563

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
Unranked
33.00.8
34.233.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
74
Unranked
30.90.8
30.130.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1140
Unranked
23.90.8
24.623.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
128
Unranked
25.90.8
25.125.9
Auto
Teleop
End