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Red4
9047.7
10006.3
Blue98
7430.9
6625.2
37%Model gave it63%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27520100150200498

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
Unranked
7.74.3
12.27.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.2
74
Unranked
30.93.2
32.135.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1000
Unranked
6.33.7
15.311.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.9
66
Unranked
25.23.7
20.324.1
Auto
Teleop
End