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Red70
65831.1
23519.7
Blue12
1825.4
121313.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54120204060801001201407012

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
658
Unranked
31.10.6
30.831.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
1213
Unranked
13.90.8
6.55.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
235
Unranked
19.70.7
22.923.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.4
182
Unranked
5.40.8
5.34.5
Auto
Teleop
End