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Red16
91021.7
18835.3
Blue33
53513.2
31427.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544002060801001201633

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
Unranked
35.31.3
32.431.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
314
Unranked
27.21.1
25.026.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
910
Unranked
21.71.5
21.520.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
535
Unranked
13.21.3
15.416.7
Auto
Teleop
End