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Red44
31427.2
14113.3
Blue74
51512.0
18835.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394401002003004004474

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
Unranked
27.20.9
26.225.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
188
Unranked
35.30.9
31.132.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
141
Unranked
13.31.0
13.112.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
515
Unranked
12.01.1
13.114.2
Auto
Teleop
End