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Red8
53513.2
4718.7
Blue45
708.0
1825.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2511020406080100845

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
535
Unranked
13.21.9
16.714.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
70
Unranked
8.02.1
8.110.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
471
Unranked
8.72.1
8.86.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
182
Unranked
5.42.1
3.05.2
Auto
Teleop
End