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Red7
53513.2
32232.1
Blue84
121313.9
3529.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5434020406080100120784

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
322
Unranked
32.13.6
39.235.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
35
Unranked
29.33.6
23.427.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
535
Unranked
13.23.6
14.811.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1213
Unranked
13.93.6
10.914.5
Auto
Teleop
End