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Red32
51512.0
8517.0
Blue88
90236.6
28033.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28680204060801001201403288

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
Unranked
17.00.6
14.914.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.6
902
Unranked
36.60.6
37.438.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
515
Unranked
12.00.6
12.712.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.8
280
Unranked
33.80.6
30.531.2
Auto
Teleop
End