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Red36
6625.2
121313.9
Blue0
12825.9
85826.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34530100150200360

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
Unranked
25.22.1
19.821.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
858
Unranked
26.22.1
28.526.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1213
Unranked
13.92.1
14.516.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.0
128
Unranked
25.92.1
24.522.5
Auto
Teleop
End