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Red30
32613.5
91021.7
Blue49
28033.8
51512.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304302060801003049

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
Unranked
21.70.2
19.619.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.2
280
Unranked
33.80.2
31.231.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
326
Unranked
13.50.2
10.510.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
515
Unranked
12.00.2
12.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End