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Red7
90236.6
12273.7
Blue85
30816.9
6625.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48350206080100785

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
902
Unranked
36.63.4
39.235.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
66
Unranked
25.23.4
21.825.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1227
Unranked
3.74.9
8.63.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.3
308
Unranked
16.93.4
13.516.9
Auto
Teleop
End