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Red40
88020.5
44227.9
Blue11
7651.8
82913.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions491404060801001204011

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
442
Unranked
27.90.3
28.327.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.6
829
Unranked
13.30.3
13.013.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
880
Unranked
20.50.3
20.820.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.7
765
Unranked
1.80.3
1.41.8
Auto
Teleop
End