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Red9
93512.2
102413.0
Blue61
51311.7
9377.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3310020406080100120961

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
Unranked
13.04.3
17.313.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
513
Unranked
11.74.3
7.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
935
Unranked
12.24.3
15.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
937
Unranked
7.54.3
3.17.5
Auto
Teleop
End