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Red67
94010.2
87917.4
Blue3
87512.7
6484.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3131010204050607080673

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
879
Unranked
17.43.9
14.017.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
875
Unranked
12.73.9
13.19.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
940
Unranked
10.23.9
18.021.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
648
Unranked
4.73.9
17.113.2
Auto
Teleop
End