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Red110
117814.5
87724.0
Blue70
90611.4
10201.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4222010015020025011070

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
877
Unranked
24.01.3
19.921.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
906
Unranked
11.41.3
8.16.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1178
Unranked
14.51.3
22.323.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.1
1020
Unranked
1.41.3
14.112.9
Auto
Teleop
End