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Red54
44227.9
65026.8
Blue24
11019.4
7651.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392401001502002503005424

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
442
Unranked
27.91.0
27.228.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.5
1101
Unranked
9.41.0
16.715.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
650
Unranked
26.81.0
11.512.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.0
765
Unranked
1.81.0
7.76.7
Auto
Teleop
End