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Red47
87512.7
93819.6
Blue71
51311.7
87917.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27290204060801001204771

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
938
Unranked
19.61.4
17.416.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
879
Unranked
17.41.4
17.919.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
875
Unranked
12.71.4
9.27.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
513
Unranked
11.71.4
11.012.4
Auto
Teleop
End