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Red53
88020.5
9377.5
Blue97
93918.1
98220.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36270501001502002505397

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
880
Unranked
20.53.4
21.618.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
982
Unranked
20.13.4
13.016.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
937
Unranked
7.53.4
14.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.6
939
Unranked
18.13.4
13.817.1
Auto
Teleop
End