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Red12
12150.8
3936.1
Blue170
17133.0
65026.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273605010015020012170

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
393
Unranked
6.19.3
11.21.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.9
171
Unranked
33.09.3
23.532.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1215
Unranked
0.89.3
16.16.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.0
650
Unranked
26.89.3
12.421.8
Auto
Teleop
End