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Red40
109415.3
7651.8
Blue129
87512.7
52539.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284105010015020040129

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1094
Unranked
15.34.8
21.716.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.8
525
Unranked
39.14.8
33.238.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
765
Unranked
1.84.8
6.71.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.0
875
Unranked
12.74.8
7.812.6
Auto
Teleop
End