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Red6
106718.5
117814.5
Blue43
98220.1
47620.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3836050100150643

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1067
Unranked
18.52.4
14.712.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
982
Unranked
20.12.4
16.318.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1178
Unranked
14.52.4
23.621.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
476
Unranked
20.12.4
20.022.4
Auto
Teleop
End