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Red54
12150.8
35622.8
Blue65
100519.3
77022.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34390501001502005465

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
356
Unranked
22.80.4
16.315.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
770
Unranked
22.00.4
20.621.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1215
Unranked
0.817.0
0.817.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.5
1005
Unranked
19.33.8
14.818.6
Auto
Teleop
End